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Objective:A nomogram model was constructed to predict poor prognosis and death risk of mechanical thrombectomy in patients with cardiogenic acute stroke.Methods:Selected 276 patients with cardiogenic acute stroke who were treated by Jiangyin Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2016 to June 2020 who underwent mechanical thrombectomy as the research objects, and recorded their general information and laboratory test results. On the 90th day, the subjects were divided into a good prognosis group ( n=122) and a poor prognosis group ( n=154) according to whether the prognosis was poor or not; according to whether they died, the subjects were divided into the survival group ( n=208) and the death group ( n=68). The differences in patient related data were compared, Logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors for poor prognosis and death, the line chart prediction model was established, and the ability of the column chart model to predict poor prognosis and death was evaluated by using the subject work characteristic (ROC) curve. The independent factors selected by multivariate regression analysis were used as predictors to construct a nomogram model to predict the prognosis of mechanical thrombectomy surgery in patients with cardiogenic acute stroke. The degree of calibration and validity of the nomogram model established in this study Make an evaluation. The measurement data that obey the normal distribution were represented by the Mean ± standard deviation ( ± s), and the two independent sample t test was used for the comparison between groups; The comparison of enumeration data between groups adopted chi-square test. Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed age ( OR=1.165; 95% CI: 1.046-1.284; P=0.001), diabetes ( OR=1.123; 95% CI: 1.021-1.225; P<0.001), hemorrhage transformation ( OR= 2.394; 95% CI: 1.857-2.931; P=0.001), recanalization ( OR=0.418; 95% CI: 0.410-0.552; P=0.001), NIHSS score ( OR=1.502; 95% CI: 1.373-1.631); P=0.001), neutrophil count (NEUT) ( OR=1.024; 95% CI: 1.009-1.139; P=0.001), NEUT/lymphocyte count (NLR) ( OR=1.235; 95% CI: 1.112-1.358; P=0.001), D-dimer ( OR=1.939; 95% CI: 1.328-2.551; P=0.001) was an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in patients with cardiogenic acute stroke; age ( OR=1.153; 95% CI: 1.080-1.226; P<0.001), hemorrhage transformation ( OR=6.330; 95% CI: 4.904-7.754; P=0.001), recanalization ( OR=0.418; 95% CI: 0.323-0.514; P=0.001), NIHSS score ( OR=2.051; 95% CI: 1.784-2.338; P=0.001), NEUT ( OR=1.399; 95% CI: 1.275-1.523; P=0.001), NLR ( OR=1.528; 95% CI: 1.414-1.642; P=0.001), D-dimer ( OR=2.391; 95% CI: 1.948-2.834; P=0.001) was an independent predictor of death in patients with cardiogenic acute stroke. The established nomogram model predicted poor prognosis and the area under the ROC curve of death were 0.814 (95% CI: 0.800-0.828) and 0.842 (95% CI: 0.828-0.857). Conclusions:Age, hemorrhage transformation, recanalization, NIHSS score, NEUT, NLR, and D-dimer are all important for the prognosis of patients with cardiogenic acute stroke by mechanical thrombectomy. Diabetes only has a suggestive effect on poor prognosis. The nomogram model established based on these factors can effectively help clinicians evaluate the prognosis of patients, formulate reasonable treatment plans for them, and improve the prognosis.
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Objective:To investigate the predictive value of measurement parameters of left atrial appendage by coronary CTA (CCTA) for the risk of cardiogenic stroke (CS) in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).Methods:The clinical and examination data of 179 patients with NVAF who underwent CCTA examination were retrospectively analyzed. The selected patients were grouped according to the outbreak of acute ischemic stroke and TIA within 2 years after CCTA examination. Patients who met the criteria for CS were selected as cases (87 patients), and those with neither stroke nor TIA as controls (92 patients). The diameter and area of left atrial appendage (LAA) orifice, the LAA depth, and the LAA volume were measured by using dedicated software. The parameter was corrected using the body surface area (BSA) to obtain the correction index of corresponding parameter. The independent samples t test, Mann-Whitney U test, and Chi-square test were used to compare the differences in various indicators between the two groups. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze the impacts of body mass index (BMI), hyperlipidemia, the duration years of atrial fibrillation, left atrial appendage area index (LAAOA Index), and the left atrial appendage emptying fraction (LAAEF) on the risk of CS. The ROC curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of LAAOA Index and LAAEF for the onset of CS. Results:The correction index of the left atrial appendage orifice maximum and minimum diameter, the left atrial appendage orifice area, and the maximum & minimum left atrial appendage volume and the LAAEF in the case group were (1.80±0.21) cm/m 2, (1.19±0.17) cm/m 2, (3.20±0.71) cm 2/m 2, (7.91±1.92) ml/m 2, (5.03±1.40) ml/m 2, (36.20±10.54)%, and those value in the control group were (1.64±0.24) cm/m 2, (1.06±0.19) cm/m 2, (2.65±0.64) cm 2/m 2, (6.61±1.68) ml/m 2, (3.67±1.28) ml/m 2, (45.25±10.07)%, the differences were statistically significant ( t= 4.783, 4.647, 5.481, 4.826, 6.823, and -5.875, all P<0.001). Binary logistic regression analysis showed that the increase in LAAOA Index ( P= 0.005) and the decrease in LAAEF ( P<0.001) were independent risk factors for CS in NVAF patients. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of LAAOA Index was 0.712 (95%CI 0.639-0.777), and the best diagnostic cut-off was 3.16 cm 2/m 2; the AUC of LAAEF was 0.734 (95%CI 0.663-0.797), the cut-off was 38.71%; the AUC of LAAOA Index-LAAEF was 0.786 (95%CI 0.718-0.843). The difference of AUC value between LAAOA Index and LAAEF was not statistically significant ( Z= 0.448, P= 0.654). The difference of AUC between the LAAOA Index-LAAEF and LAAOA Index ( Z=2.667, P=0.008) and between the LAAOA Index-LAAEF and LAAEF ( Z=2.061, P=0.039) were statistically significant. Conclusions:CCTA can provide a one-stop and relatively accurate evaluation of the size and function of the left atrial appendage by post-processing the coronary vascular scan data. Left atrial appendage measurement parameters from CCTA can be used as a supplement to the CHA2DS2-VASc score, and provide quantitative indicators for the risk assessment of CS in patients with NVAF.
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Objective: To compare the baseline characteristics and treatment outcomes of mechanical thrombectomy in patients with intracranial arterial occlusion caused by embolic stroke of undetermined source and cardiogenic stroke. Methods: Retrospective analysis was made on ESUS and CS patients in registration databases who received thrombectomy in two stroke centers, Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine and Lishui Central Hospital, Zhejiang University from November 2012 to April 2019. T-test and Mann-Whitney U test were used to compare the measurement data, χ2 test and Fisher's exact test were used to compare the counting data, and the independent prognostic risk factors were analyzed by Logistic regression. Results: In all, 117 participants were eventually enrolled, including 30 (25.6%) with ESUS and 87 (74.4%) with CS. Compared with the CS group, the ESUS group was significantly younger (mean ages, 64 years vs 75 years, P=0.003) with lower median baseline NIHSS scores (12 vs. 15, P=0.020), lower median NIHSS scores at 24 h (10 vs 12, P=0.033) and lower median MRS scores at 90 days (2 vs 4, P=0.015). The rates of successful recanalization were similar. Logistic regression analysis showed hypertension (OR=0.264, 95%CI 0.099-0.704, P=0.008) and baseline NIHSS scores (OR=0.758, 95%CI 0.673-0.853, P=0.000) were independent risk factors affecting prognoses. Conclusion: Compared with CS, ESUS patients are relatively younger and have milder neurological dysfunction at onset and better prognoses; however, both groups have high mortality rates. The successful recanalization rates for mechanical thrombectomy are similar. The baseline NIHSS score and hypertension are independent prognostic risk factors.
ABSTRACT
Cardiogenic stroke caused by atrial fibrillation is the most harmful type of stroke, causing great social burden. Prevention and treatment of cardiogenic stroke often require the joint decision by the cerebrovascular physicians and cardiologists. Within 14 d after onset, the early stage of stroke, is a high-risk period of stroke recurrence and also a highrisk period of cerebral hemorrhage. In this period, how to prevent stroke recurrence is an urgent problem to be solved. This paper summarizes the main ways of secondary prevention for cardiogenic stroke caused by atrial fibrillation and discusses the possibility of early secondary prevention.